2018 Wimbledon Tennis: Roger Federer’s Draw Analysis.

The 2018 Wimbledon’s main draw has all of the top ten and big four playing this year. Roger Federer is the favorite to win the tournament this year, but many would like to see a champion not named Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, or Murray?

 

The first two rounds seem routine for Roger Federer.

Roger Federer, ranked 2nd in the ATP, deserves the top seeding at Wimbledon this year. Roger starts his Wimbledon campaign against Dusan Lajovic who Federer dispatched 7-6 (0), 6-3, 6-2 in the Wimbledon last year. Federer should win this match in 3 or 4 sets and will then face Lukas Lacko, who is fresh of his final appearance at the Nature Valley International in Eastbourne.

 

Karlovic and Coric could offer resistance to the Fed Express.

Federer’s third could be against the ace machine, Dr. Ivo Karlovic, with a 13-1 record against Roger, and the next up could be Borna Coric who beat Roger Federer in the finals at Halle just last week. The finals in Halle, however, is not the same as a five-setter in the center court at Wimbledon, and Roger Federer should win that possible encounter in straight or four sets.

Roger Federer’s quarterfinal could be a little easier than his third and the fourth round.

His quarterfinal opponent could either be the winner of Sam Querrey and Richard Gasquet or Gilles Muller and Kevin Anderson. Roger is 3-0 against Querrey, 4-0 against Anderson, 17-2 against Gasquet, and 5-0 against Muller. Roger Federer should be able to handle whoever or whatever is thrown his way in the quarters.

Marin Cilic, in the semifinals, could be Roger Federer’s toughest opponent.

The semi-final gets a little tricky for Roger if Cilic meets him there. Marin Cilic, has made two of the last three slam finals and, is a dangerous player with good movement, for a tall player, and damage-inflicting ground-shots. He has beaten Roger Federer in the semi-finals of the US Open in 2014 and can do it again on the center court in Wimbledon. Roger, however, has too much experience and talent to lose not get past Cilic in those stages of the tournament. However, in tennis as in life, just about anything is possible.

 

The possible final.

Unless Nick Kyrgios catches fire; of the title contenders picked by 138mph, Federer faces the possibility of meeting either Djokovic or Nadal in the finals.

Roger Federer versus Novak Djokovic.

Roger Federer is 105-10 against Novak; in your wildest dreams! Roger is in fact 22-23 against Novak Djokovic, but Djokovic is still having a problem closing out matches and has never faced the post-2016 Roger. Roger Federer is a better player than he was between 2013 and 2016, and Djokovic even then did not dominate the h2h between them. Novak Djokovic was 10-6, from 2013 to 2016, against Roger and that was against Roger without the retooled backhand and renewed aggression. Were these two to meet in the finals, Federer should win in straight or four sets.

 

Roger Federer versus Rafael Nadal.

Rafael Nadal is Roger Federer’s whipping boy nowadays and, on the low bouncing court of Wimbledon, Rafa stands little chance of extending Roger to even the fourth much less beat him.

Either Nadal or Djokovic in the final would be easier than the semifinal against Marin Cilic.

Roger Federer, in fact, has a higher chance of losing to Marin Cilic in the semi-finals than to either Rafael Nadal or Novak Djokovic in the finals.

Outcome: Unless Roger Federer has a bad day at the office over the next two weeks, he should go home with his 9th Wimbledon title in 2018.